Friday, September 8, 2017

Tennis Betting -2017 US Open Nadal vs Del Potro Predicition

Both Nadal and Del Potro are capable of winning this match. Both players have the intangibles. Del Potro plays the big hitting style of tennis that troubles Nadal. He is tall and can easily withstand Nadal's high topspin.

I would say Del Potro all the way based on their previous 2009 US Open meeting that Del Potro won 6-2, 6-2, 6-2. However, his average backhand speed was hit 13 mph faster back then. Del Potro has shown the ability to amp up his backhand in critical moments against Federer. Well guess what Del Potro? Every rally is going to be critical against Nadal. Del Potro doesn't have a physical limitation on his backhand side due to wrist surgeries. He is fine to move it either direction, it is largely mental reasons that withhold him from snapping his wrist before contact like he used to.

Fatigue is also not a factor for Del Potro, who has shown astonishing heart in his biggest matches. Remember too, the crowd is going to be pro Del Potro. He can truly take down any one with the right atmosphere. Nadal has shown vulnerability this 2017 US Open. Nadal certainly could win. But I think Del Potro is going to hit his backhand consistently well enough to give himself more forehands. And when he can hit enough forehands he will control the match.

Nadal has also struggled to be aggressive on his return. So Del Potro should at least hold comfortably on his service games.  Now its not a sure thing the outcome of this match. In fact, I can't guess how many sets victory will require or the score line.  But in betting terms Del Potro money line is around +250 depending on the sports book. With those kind of odds you don't have to be right more than 50 percent of the time to make money in the long term. I am saying to forget the totals and the spread as that is too unpredictable. And to take Del Potro +250 Moneyline. 

My disclaimer is to know the risks of rewards of sports betting. And to do so at a legalized sports book in Las Vegas.

So again. Take Del Potro +250 Moneyline .  On the basis of its an affordable gamble, and that the sports books may have made a mistake here.

Feel free to comment here before, during or after  the match. Even if its just general tennis talk. Also check out the rest of my blog. I have classic tennis matches I am willing to sell. I give analysis on matches. And I teach tennis lessons in person.

Cheers to a great match!

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